For the hard-of-understanding in Twitter ...

Post Reply
User avatar
honestbroker1
Posts: 7743
Joined: Sat Apr 16, 2011 8:50 pm

For the hard-of-understanding in Twitter ...

Post by honestbroker1 » Tue Dec 04, 2018 1:23 pm

Mark Harrison and Martin Grime.

What was supposed to have been their respective roles, and how it actually panned out.

I will develop in edits, as is my usual way.

The job of Mark Harrison was to attempt to solve the crime; also, to bring to the investigation the resources and expertise he felt he needed to assist him to do that.

Harrison, indeed, brought to the investigation Grime and his dogs. Harrison also drew up a proposed schedule of searches that were sensible, measured and proportionate, a reflection of the places Madeleine either had been, or, conceivably (we now know NOT) might have been associated with Robert Murat.

Here is what Mark Harrison wrote:
Re Visiting Previously Searched Areas.

In considering the two scenarios that Madeleine McCann has been murdered and her body disposed of by a person on foot or in a vehicle, I have reflected on the areas within zone 1 that have been previously searched or subject to forensic examination.

Mark Warner Creche at Praia Da Luz.

This is the location of the last confirmed sighting by a person independent of family members of Madeleine McCann. Although this location was within the original search area it may well benefit from a further search using enhanced detecting methods for human remains. This will depend on the size of any outside grounds and concealed areas inside the building.

McCann's Apartment.

The apartment in which the McCann's had stayed may present further
opportunities to search. The use of a specialist EVRD (Enhanced Victim
Recovery Dog) and CSI dog (human blood detecting dog) could potentially indicate on whether Madeline's blood is in the property or the scent of a dead body is present. In relation to the dead body scent if such a scent is indicated by the EVRD and no body is located it may suggest that a body has been in the property but removed. This search process could be repeated in all the apartments that were occupied by the friends holidaying with the McCann's.
Murat's House and Garden.

The property has been forensically examined to recover any surface trace evidence however the house and gardens may benefit from a fully invasive specialist search to preclude the presence of Madeleine McCann.
A method previously employed on similar cases has been to use the below assets.
Deploy the EVRD to search the house and garden to ensure Madeleine McCann's remains are not present. The dog may also indicate if a body has been stored in the recent past and then moved off the property, though this is not evidential merely intelligence.
Deploy the CSI dog to search the house to locate any human blood.
This will act in support of the forensic examination already completed.
An inhibiting factor will be on areas where Luminol has been used.


Page 2228 :

Deploy geophysical instruments in the house and garden to detect any burial of a body or concealment in voids.

These specialists should be supported by physical search teams exploring and accessing all areas where concealment of a child's body could be made typically 0.5m.

Murat's Vehicles.

All vehicles Murat has had access to have been forensically examined to recover any surface trace evidence however they may all benefit from a full search by the EVRD and CSI dogs. They may be able to detect whether a dead body has been transported in one of the vehicles for intelligence purposes or detect human blood deposits that can be recovered and
examined in a laboratory for Madeleine McCann's blood.

Open Area to East of Praia Da Luz.

This open area between the village urban limits and the Boavista golf club to the east and includes a plateau on which sits a trig point and mobile phone mast.
This area has been previously searched by officers and dogs walking through the area to check for Madeleine McCann's visible remains. However considering the new scenario of Homicide and concealed deposition this area affords many opportunities to dispose of a body. Within this area there are old empty properties, wells, thick vegetation, pockets of soft sand and natural fissures in the cliffs. Whilst there is no intelligence she is buried or concealed in this land it would be a natural place an offender may choose dose to the Village using the least effort principle. A proportionate response may therefore be considered to conduct a search of this area using a team of Victim Recovery Dogs (VRD) that are specifically trained to located concealed human remains.
Prior to undertaking this task it would be beneficial to consult with a Forensic Anthropologist with knowledge of this region of Portugal to give opinion as to the likely state of any remains to be found. Further research could also be conducted with regards to the natural scavenging predators in the area.
The above is (arguably) more notable for what's NOT there than what is:

No reference to the McCanns' hired villa

No reference to vehicles BESIDES those (sic) 'owned or driven by Robert Murat'.

No reference to the gym

No reference to clothing.

Just a logical schedule of proposed searches in places Madeleine either had been or conceivably (we know NOT) might have been associated with Robert Murat.

Later, Harrison wrote this:
In complying with these terms I undertook a series of briefings and site visits. These were with GNR and PJ personnel who had been involved in the previous searches conducted the week following Madeleine McCann’s disappearance in Praia da Luz.



The output of this process of reconnaissance and review was a written document entitled “Madeleine McCann Search Decision Support Document” (see appendix 2) and submitted to the PJ with copies supplied to Leicestershire Police and NPIA on 23-07-07.

It recommended considering re searching:



- All accommodation occupied by the McCann family and their friends as well as any hired vehicles.

- The villa and garden occupied by Robert Murat and any vehicles he had access to.

- Areas of wasteland adjacent to Murat’s and the McCann’s apartment.

- Areas of the beach in Praia da Luz.

- A portion of the coastline east of Praia da Luz.



These recommendations were based on the fact that these areas had not been previously searched with the specific intent to locate Madeleine McCann’s concealed and deceased body and that the areas recommended afforded likely and obvious places to consider for concealment in such an investigation.
Did Harrison really write, with a straight face, that the McCanns' hired villa, moved in to long after a full-scale police and civilian search for Madeleine, might be (sic) an "obvious place to search" for Madeleine's "concealed and deceased body"?

Surely not!

That is even more outlandish than the notion that a vehicle, hired 3 weeks AFTER Madeleine's abduction might have been used to take her somewhere.

But he wrote it.

Why?

Finally, I challenge anyone to reconcile chapter 16 of Amaral's book to the concluding sentence of Harrison's third, and final, report:
I am currently of the opinion on the available information and statistical datasets that if death has occurred, that it is possible that Madeleine McCann’s body has been disposed into the sea at Praia da Luz. (See my second report entitled “NPIA OP TASK Search Doc Beach and Marine”).
(Mark Harrison).

It is true that Mark Harrison consulted statistical data-bases, but only to rule out one of his earlier, hypothetical, musings, that an area of large boulders on the beach might have been used to conceal a body.
Last edited by honestbroker1 on Tue Dec 04, 2018 2:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.

User avatar
honestbroker1
Posts: 7743
Joined: Sat Apr 16, 2011 8:50 pm

Re: For the hard-of-understanding in Twitter ...

Post by honestbroker1 » Tue Dec 04, 2018 2:00 pm

Here is what Mark Harrison actually wrote about statistics:

Homicide Disposal Datasets
A limited search has been conducted of datasets that contain body disposal
data in homicide cases (CATCHEM, SCAS, FBI). Although this search was
limited due to the time constraints placed on this reports delivery an inference
can be gained from both the data sets and the authors own case work
experience. I have also consulted with NPIA and FBI colleagues to benefit
from their experiences.
The conclusion inferred is that beach burial is extremely rare. This should not
surprise us as to dig on a beach is a high risk activity requiring expending time
and energy when a more 'least effort" disposal is readily available, that is
directly into the sea. Of those limited cases that were found to be a beach
disposal the overwhelming majority were surface depositions with only one
recorded concealment using rocks on top of a 2 year old child (CATCHEM
Database)
To RULE OUT that Madeleine's body had been hidden, or buried, somewhere on the beach.

As I have earlier indicated, Harrison's own (tentative) conclusion was that IF Madeleine is dead, it is most likely her remains were thrown into the sea.

Reconcile that, if you can, with this, from Amaral's book (more in an edit).
AMAZING STATISTICS

Great Britain has at its disposal the world's biggest data bank on homicide of children under five years old. Since 1960, the count is 1528. Harrison is well acquainted with its contents. He often draws information from there which helps him to resolve similar cases. Valuable information can be found there on on various criminal modus operandi, places where bodies are hidden, techniques used to get rid of a body. He relates that on one occasion, thanks to the data, he was able to deduce the maximum distance a body might be found in relation to where the crime had been committed.

The figures quoted in the report he hands over give us the shivers. The crimes, including those of a sexual nature, are committed by the parents in 84% of cases; 96% are perpetrated by friends and relatives. In only 4% of them is the murderer or abductor a total stranger to the victim. In this roundabout way, Mark Harrison points out that the guilty party may be a person close to Madeleine, and even her own parents. From now on, we have to explore this track, especially as the others have proved fruitless.

Harrison also suggests that we use the skills of two totally remarkable dogs: the first an EVRD (Enhanced Victim Recovery Dog), achieves outstanding performance in the detection of human cadaver odour; the second, a CSI dog (Crime Scene Investigation) is capable of smelling the tiniest trace of blood, knowing how to recognise its human origin. To convince us of their capability and the extraordinary work carried out by these very special detectives in the course of over 200 investigations, he screens a video for us, showing their training and their intervention on the ground.

He suggests that we start the operations with the inspection of apartment 5A, then those occupied by the McCanns' friends. Robert Murat's house will also be subjected to thorough examination. In addition, all the vehicles used by all of them will be sniffed by the dogs.
(Goncalo Amaral, chapter 16, Truth of the Lie)

Already cited above, but worth repeating, the conclusion of Mark Harrison's final report:
I am currently of the opinion on the available information and statistical datasets that if death has occurred, that it is possible that Madeleine McCann’s body has been disposed into the sea at Praia da Luz. (See my second report entitled “NPIA OP TASK Search Doc Beach and Marine”).

User avatar
honestbroker1
Posts: 7743
Joined: Sat Apr 16, 2011 8:50 pm

Re: For the hard-of-understanding in Twitter ...

Post by honestbroker1 » Tue Dec 04, 2018 2:27 pm

Note, also, this sentence which clearly states a principle of English law: that uncorroborated cadaver dog alerts are inadmissible as evidence in English courts:
The dog may also indicate if a body has been stored in the recent past and then moved off the property, though this is not evidential merely intelligence.
Mark Harrison

User avatar
honestbroker1
Posts: 7743
Joined: Sat Apr 16, 2011 8:50 pm

Re: For the hard-of-understanding in Twitter ...

Post by honestbroker1 » Tue Dec 04, 2018 6:40 pm

For Jules on twitter:
The output of this process of reconnaissance and review was a written document entitled “Madeleine McCann Search Decision Support Document” (see appendix 2) and submitted to the PJ with copies supplied to Leicestershire Police and NPIA on 23-07-07.

It recommended considering re searching:



- All accommodation occupied by the McCann family and their friends as well as any hired vehicles.

- The villa and garden occupied by Robert Murat and any vehicles he had access to.

- Areas of wasteland adjacent to Murat’s and the McCann’s apartment.

- Areas of the beach in Praia da Luz.

- A portion of the coastline east of Praia da Luz.



These recommendations were based on the fact that these areas had not been previously searched with the specific intent to locate Madeleine McCann’s concealed and deceased body and that the areas recommended afforded likely and obvious places to consider for concealment in such an investigation.
(Mark Harrison)

Post Reply